The old order was based on
an unsustainable commodities supercycle. While the boom had many positives and
contributed to Nigeria becoming Africa’s largest economy, it fostered an
epidemic of corruption and inefficiency.
Foreign businesses and financial
institutions also benefited as some people spent and sometimes hid huge sums
abroad, lifted by the rising tide of oil exports and dollar revenues.
Now we are living in a new
world of low energy prices. The economy has slowed while unemployment and
inflation have jumped. Longstanding structural imbalances and overdependence on
imports have been cruelly exposed. We are an oil-rich nation that imports most
of our gasoline. We are a farming nation that imports most of our basic food
staples. This is simply not acceptable or sustainable.
Nigeria is at a crossroads.
Our solutions must be in
proportion to the challenges. Fundamental change takes time and we are driving
not one but three changes to reposition Nigeria for inclusive growth.
• Restore trust We have
begun to tackle the endemic corruption and mismanagement that is crippling our
economy and corroding trust in our institutions. The anticorruption fight is at
the heart of combating poverty and improving security. We have stepped up
enforcement and new prosecutions to get our house in order, and I have called
for foreign governments to work with us to identify where funds stolen during
previous administrations are lodged and for multistate cooperation to combat
oil theft.
Fighting corruption is not
enough. We need accountable government and a public sector that can do more
with less. We have already taken initial steps by bringing all government
finances into a single treasury account where we can monitor spending and
impose discipline, implementing zero-based budgets and benchmarks targeted at
waste and fraud, and establishing electronic platforms for government agency
interface.
• Rebalance our economy In
a world of lower oil prices and dollar revenues, the only sustainable path is
to reduce Nigerians’ overreliance on imports. We must rebalance our economy by
empowering entrepreneurs and producers, big and small, to create more of what
their fellow Nigerians demand. The supply of foreign exchange to the economy
must be increased. This requires radically increasing exports and productivity
and improving the investment climate and ease of doing business.
Nigeria’s growth and job
creation will be led by the private sector. We are a young, entrepreneurial
society with vibrant success stories in new industries such as
telecommunications, technology and entertainment. Government is doing its part
to lower taxes on small businesses, eliminate bureaucracy to bring the informal
economy out of the shadows and provide development funding for priority sectors
such as agriculture. The central bank has moved to introduce greater
flexibility in our exchange-rate policy. These actions are a downpayment on our
people’s ability to succeed.
• Regenerate growth We must
reposition our economy by attracting investment in domestic industries and
infrastructure. Nigeria has huge untapped gas reserves and also a critical
shortage of electricity. Our private sector loses too much of its revenue due
to brownouts and power outages. Half of my fellow Nigerians have no access to
the power grid. Investment in our power infrastructure, restructuring of the
state-run oil-and-gas sector and development of other industries such as solid
minerals, metals and petrochemicals will help to create a virtuous circle of
growth and exports while creating jobs and reducing poverty.
I am optimistic that our
actions are providing the breathing room Nigeria needs during this period of
fundamental change. But we cannot improve living conditions and restore fiscal
health without making people feel safe and secure—just as we cannot defeat
militancy without reducing poverty and dislocation.
One of our main
achievements this past year has been to unite regional and global allies to
push back Boko Haram. What we do in the next three years to build an economic
bridge to Nigeria’s future will be just as important for bringing lasting peace
and prosperity.
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