Monday 7 March 2022

"Putin is "rational" and is acting on misguided information from his own military" - Former Foreign Minister

Kozyrev argues, Putin has been convinced by his own advisers and propaganda machine that Ukraine is being run by Nazis, and that the West has been behind Kyiv wanting to grow further away from the influence of the Kremlin.

According to report, the former foreign minister in the Kremlin has said Vladimir Putin isn't insane and will not intentionally use nuclear weapons against the West.

Andrei Kozyrev, who served as Minister of Foreign Affairs from 1990 to 1996, said Putin is "rational" and is acting on misguided information from his own military, rather than being hellbent on destroying the West.

He tweeted that the view among some in the West that Putin is being "irrational" in his decision to invade Ukraine is not accurate. He said: "I disagree. It’s horrific, but not irrational."

He has also believed the mistruths fed to him by corrupt Russian military officials, Kozyrev added.

"The Kremlin spent the last 20 years trying to modernise its military," he said, "Much of that budget was stolen and spent on mega-yachts in Cyprus. But as a military advisor you cannot report that to the President. So they reported lies to him instead."

The way the West had dealt with Russia in the past led to Putin's belief they were "toothless", and wouldn't fight back, he said.

Instead, Moscow has had to contend with swingeing sanctions imposed by the UK, US, Canada and the EU, including sweeping sanctions against Putin himself, his ministers, oligarchs, individuals close to the Kremlin, banks, and key businesses.

Russia’s economy has also come under immense pressure from the international sanctions, with the rouble dropping to its lowest-ever value, weakening to 133.5 to the dollar -s a 40% drop in value compared to before the invasion.

"He miscalculated on all three, but that doesn’t make him insane. Simply wrong and immoral," Kozyrev said.

It is widely believed that Russia's invasion has not gone to plan, with Putin left angry and frustrated by the slow progress made by his forces in the opening days of the conflict.

Russia has since stoked fears of a nuclear conflict with the West, with Putin putting Moscow's nuclear forces on "high alert", and conducting submarine drills in the Black Sea.

Moscow's current foreign minister, Sergei Lavrov, further fanned the flames further last week, saying a world war sparked by the current crisis "will become nuclear".

Despite this, Kozyrev has insisted Putin is simply using the nuclear threat as his "last remaining card in the deck" to extract concessions from Ukraine and the West.

"In my opinion, he is rational. Given that he is rational, I strongly believe he will not intentionally use nuclear weapons against the West. I say intentionally because indiscriminate shelling near a nuclear power plant can cause an unintentional nuclear disaster in Ukraine."

The invasion of Ukraine has shown no signs of stopping, with Putin facing accusations of war crimes and of indiscriminately bombing civilian men, women and children.

Even after agreeing a ceasefire so civilians could be evacuated, so-called safe routes were shelled by Russian forces in Irpin on Sunday, killing civilians who were trying to flee to safety.

Putin's invasion has triggered the worst refugee crisis since World War Two, displacing around 1.5 million people.

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