There is no likelihood of the Chinese government launching a pre-emptive nuclear strike against Australia because it is acquiring a nuclear-powered submarine fleet. India, a country which has been recently in armed clashes with China, has long operated nuclear-powered submarines in the Indian and Pacific Oceans.
Australia could become the target of a nuclear strike by China following the security agreement with the US and UK which will lead to it acquiring a nuclear-powered submarine fleet.
According to the Global Times, a newspaper viewed as a mouthpiece of the Communist Party in Beijing, Chinese military experts fear the vessels could be upgraded with a nuclear arsenal, despite assurances that they will only carry conventional weapons.
Chinese military experts have supposedly warned of a potential strike on Australia, this was because, claims the Global Times, it would be relatively easy for Washington and London to equip the vessels with ballistic missiles carrying nuclear warheads.
In the report an unnamed senior military expert says that only nuclear armed states have nuclear-powered submarines and their role is to launch nuclear missiles in the event of war.
The sources said assurances by Joe Biden and the Australian prime minister Scott Morrison on nuclear weaponry were “meaningless”.
It would be “easy for the US and UK to deploy nuclear weapons and submarine-launched ballistic missiles on the Australian submarines”, says the unnamed military figure.
In another story the state-backed publication, which often uses colourful invectives and is used for sabre rattling against perceived enemies, warned that Australia could be targetted as a warning to others if it acted “with bravado” in allegiance to the US, or by being “militarily assertive”.
“Thus, Australian troops are also most likely to be the first batch of western soldiers to waste their lives in the South China Sea,” it said.
In its official reaction, the Chinese government stated the proposal to introduce the nuclear-powered submarines was a dangerous development. Foreign Ministry spokesperson Zhao Lijian said it “seriously damages regional peace and stability, intensifies the arms race and undermines the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons”.
The agreement
between Australia, UK and US has, however drawn criticism from allies as well
as China. The deal, put together swiftly and largely in secrecy, means that
France will lose a $90bn (£65bn) contract to build diesel-powered submarines
for Australia.
Jean-Yves Le Drian, the French foreign minister, decried a “stab in the back” from Australia, saying “we had established a trusting relationship with Australia, and this trust was betrayed”.
Mr Le Drian
said what has happened showed that Mr Biden was behaving no better than Donald
Trump: “The brutal, unilateral and unpredictable decision reminds me a lot of
what Mr Trump used to do. I am angry and I am angry and bitter. This isn’t done
between allies.”
Gerard Araud,
the former French ambassador to Washington, tweeted : “France has just been
reminded this bitter truth by the way the US and the UK have stabbed her in the
back in Australia.”
Other officials
said relations with America were the worst since 2003, the times when the
French were called “cheese eating surrender monkeys” for refusing to join the
US and UK in the disastrous Iraq invasion.
Joseph Borrell,
foreign affairs and security policy chief for the European Union, which had
just unveiled its own Indo-Pacific strategy, concluded that “we must survive on
our own as others do. I understand the extent to which the French government
must be disappointed”.
Theresa May
asked how the Aukus pact will cause the UK to respond should China attempt to
invade Taiwan. “Can I ask him what are the implications of this pact for the
stance that would be taken by the United Kingdom in its response should China
attempt to invade Taiwan?”
Boris Johnson
replied: “The United Kingdom remains determined to defend international law and
that is the strong advice we would give to our friends across the world, and
the strong advice that we would give to the government in Beijing.”
The reactions
were partly due to shock at what had unfolded. Just a fortnight ago the
Australian defence and foreign ministers had reconfirmed the French agreement.
Emmanuel Macron had looked forward to future cooperation when hosting Mr
Morrison in June.
Yet now we know,
firstly privately from British officials, then publicly from defence secretary
Ben Wallace and national security advisor Sir Stephen Lovegrove, that the
Australians had first approached over switching to the agreement with the UK
and US back in March.
“This has been
a project in gestation for some months – right through the Afghanistan drawdown
– and is a powerful illustration of how we are building new long-term
partnerships rooted in Britain’s values, its scientific and engineering
excellence, and in our alliances” said Sir Stephen.
What happened
in Afghanistan was already a sign for European states that America’s position
had not changed that much since the departure of Mr Trump. President Biden had
carried on with his predecessor’s policy of hastily pulling out forces, with
all the consequences that ensued. There was little consultation with Nato
partners, who had no choice but to withdraw their troops as well.
The Biden
administration was turning its focus on the Indo-Pacific. It is not the first
to seek to do so. Barack Obama had also attempted the move to the east but was
held back to the Middle East by the rise of Isis.
The Aukus
agreement formalises the attempt to check Chinese expansionism.
Defence secretary Ben Wallace said: “China is embarking on one of the biggest military spends and military investments in history. It’s growing its navy and air force at a huge rate, extremely fast. Obviously it’s engaged in some controversial and disputed areas.
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