Russia began laying the groundwork for an invasion years ago, according to the report, and cultivated a significant network of agents in Ukraine with the ultimate goal of toppling the government and subjugating the former Soviet republic.
According
to report, in late February, the days leading up to Russia's invasion of
Ukraine, Ukrainian spies were sent into Russia to conduct surveillance on the
Russian military and encountered "a lot" of drunk soldiers, according
to a new Washington Post report.
The
Russian troops had apparently traded fuel and other supplies for alcohol.
"A lot of them were drunk," a Ukrainian official who saw reports from
the spies told the Post.
Their
observations, which also included tank formations without crews or maintainers,
suggested that Russia was unprepared for war and reportedly fuelled some degree
of disbelief among some officials in Ukraine that Russia would actually attempt
an invasion. In many ways, as has since been demonstrated, Russia wasn't ready,
but it moved forward anyway.
The Post's
report, which relies heavily on a trove of sensitive materials gathered by
Ukrainian officials and other security services, offers intricate details on
Russian intelligence failures ahead of the war.
Prior to
the invasion, it was widely believed that if Russia did launch a military
incursion it would be able to defeat Ukrainian forces in a matter of days, but
that's not how the conflict has played out.
The
Russian military failed to take Kyiv, as the Ukrainian military put up a much
stiffer resistance than many expected. The fight has now lasted nearly six
months, with Russia making only incremental progress as the conflict has
morphed into a grinding war of attrition.
In many
respects, the invasion has been humiliating for the Russian military, which has
suffered massive troop and equipment losses.
Russia's
primary spy agency, the FSB, bears much of the responsibility for the failed
war plans and the overconfidence that catalyzed the Russian military's
ambitious objectives, according to the Post's report.
The FSB,
for example, reportedly offered the Kremlin misleadingly positive assessments
that suggested Ukrainians would welcome Russia with open arms.
"There
was plenty of wishful thinking," a senior Western security official told
the Post, adding that the FSB had the sense "there would be flowers strewn
in their path." The FSB apparently thought that a rapid assault would
quickly bring down the Ukrainian government. But, according to the Post report,
FSB officers ultimately ended up retreating from Kyiv alongside Russian troops.
Previous
reports suggested that Putin received bad intel because his advisors are
"too afraid" to give him negative assessments. Individuals who have
angered or displeased the Russian leader have at times ended up dying in
violent or mysterious ways, while others have landed in prison.
"We
believe that Putin is being misinformed by his advisors about how badly the
Russian military is performing and how the Russian economy is being crippled by
sanctions because his senior advisors are too afraid to tell him the
truth," a US official said in late March.
"Putin,"
the official said, "didn't even know his military was using and losing
conscripts in Ukraine, showing a clear breakdown in the flow of accurate
information to the Russian president."
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